This came in from Cameron Runyan while I was at lunch:
I wanted to give you a quick Election Day update from the field.
We’re just under halfway through voting and our poll greeters report that turnout is EXTREMELY LOW across the city. I’ve been out speaking with voters at voting locations all day and have observed the same thing.
What does that mean? It means that your vote in today’s Columbia City Council At-Large election could make the difference.
So if you haven’t voted yet, please be sure to do so before polls close at 7 p.m. There is too much at stake for the future of our great city to not vote today.
And please share this message with your family, friends and neighbors and encourage them to vote Cameron Runyan for City Council in today’s election.
CLICK HERE TO FORWARD THIS MESSAGE
If you need a ride to vote, please call 803-348-4571 . Someone will pick you up and take you to the polls. If you’re not sure where to vote, you can find out here.
After voting ends at 7 p.m. this evening, please stop by 701 Whaley Street for our Election Night Celebration. We’ll have the election results as they come in.
As always, I thank you for your support, your friendship and all you are doing to help me build a better Columbia.
For my readers who live in Columbia: Have you voted? And what was it like at your precinct?
Since I’m not endorsing anybody in this Columbia city election, I need to have something to say about it. So I’ll do the most indiscreet, foolish thing anyone can do — make predictions.
Here’s what’s going to happen:
- Brian DeQuincey Newman will be re-elected in District 2.
- Cameron Runyan will be elected to the at-large seat, possibly even without a runoff (although it’s extra hard to make a prediction like that with turnout as low as it appears to be).
- Daniel Coble will be in a runoff with Jenny Isgett in District 3. The runoff will break roughly along standard Coble/Gergel/Shandonista vs. Finlay/Rickenmann/Tomlin lines (except for Shandonista women who just vote for a woman), offering a re-run of the battle four years ago between Belinda Gergel and Brian Boyer.
And yeah, the only one I’m going out on a limb on is District 3. For all I know, Moe Baddourah could be the eventual winner. But I don’t think so.
All of it is hard to call because turnout is so light, making small fluctuations mean more than they otherwise would. I was talking thismorning with Sam Davis, who mentioned how light voting was so far. I said that was to be expected, and he didn’t agree. But he offered a possible explanation for it that would be good for him and the other incumbents — that city voters are pleased with the current direction of the council.
Maybe. We’ll see.